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April 11, 2013  Thu 10:03 AM CT

CTIC: SEE CHART GET CHAIN FIND STRATEGIES
A huge trade is betting that Cell Therapeutics will not become a penny stock.
 
More than 20,000 CTIC options have change hands already today, compared to a full-session average of 1,100 contracts in the last month. Virtually all of that volume is in one trade.

optionMONSTER systems detected the sale of 20,000 June 1 puts for $0.06 this morning. The volume was twice the previous open interest in the strike, clearly showing that this is a new position.

The put seller apparently believes that the cancer-drug developer will continue holding above $1 in coming months. He or she is also willing to buy shares if they fall below that strike price. Such "nickel" strategies have a high probability of profit but also high risk, as they are usually leveraged up to get a reasonable profit. (See our Education section)

CTIC is up fractionally at $1.17 today. It has tested support at $1 in the last few weeks but hasn't traded below that key level since gapping higher at the start of September.
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As discussed last week, when using the Stock Replacement Strategy to replace a stock position to trade direction, we want to use an option that has very similar characteristics to the stock. We talked about using the deep in-the-money, 80 to 85 delta option that is similar in the Greeks and has relatively little extrinsic value which tends to work against us in stock directional trading.

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