Inflation, retail, industrial data on tap
Evan McDaniel | [email protected]
The day begins with the consumer price index for August at 8:30 a.m. ET. The consensus forecast for the inflation report calls for a gain of 0.6 percent, compared with July's zero print and within an estimated range of 0.2 percent to 0.9 percent. Excluding food and energy, the CPI forecast is 0.2 percent, up from July's 0.1 percent and within a range of 0.1 percent to 0.2 percent.
Retail sales for August will also come out at 8:30 a.m. ET. The consensus expectation is for sales to remain unchanged from July's 0.8 percent reading, with estimates ranging from 0.3 percent to 1.5 percent.
The number is also expected to stay unchanged at 0.8 percent excluding cars. Without both autos and gasoline, the consensus projection is 0.4 percent, down from July's 0.9 percent and within a range of 0.3 percent to 0.8 percent.
Industrial production for August is scheduled for 9:15 a.m. ET. The consensus forecast is -0.1 percent, down from July's 0.6 percent, with estimates ranging from -1.0 percent to 0.3 percent.
August's capacity utilization rate is expected to come in at 79.2 percent, down from July's 79.4 percent and within an estimated range of -0.5 percent to 0.2 percent. The manufacturing rate is forecast at -0.2 percent, a decline from July's 0.5 percent, with estimates ranging from -0.5 percent to 0.2 percent.
The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment report for September will come out at 9:55 a.m. ET. The consensus expectation calls for a print of 73.5, down from 74.5 in August, with estimates of 73 to 75.
Business inventories for July will follow at 10 a.m. ET. Analysts expect inventories to come in at 0.5 percent, a gain from June's 0.1 percent. Estimates range from 0.1 percent to 0.6 percent.
The last scheduled event is a speech by Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Dennis Lockhart at 1 p.m. ET.