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November 29, 2012  Thu 7:17 AM CT

SPX: SEE CHART GET CHAIN FIND STRATEGIES
Stocks are climbing today as optimism returns and after refusing to sell off yesterday.

The S&P 500 is indicated to open higher by more than half a percent, following similar gains in Europe. Asian markets also rallied overnight after the S&P 500 rallied back from a decline of almost 1 percent yesterday to close positive.

Sentiment is improving as investors anticipate strong monthly sales data from retailers and hope for a resolution to the budget fight in Washington. A survey of economic confidence in the Euro zone also came in better than expected, breaking eight months of declines.

At 8:30 a.m. ET, the U.S. government will release jobless claims and revised third-quarter gross domestic product figures. Both are expected to show improvement over previous reports. (See related story)

Commodities also reflect a willingness to take risk. Oil and copper, which are highly sensitive to the economic mood, are higher by more than 1 percent. Gold and silver are up more than half a percent, while most agricultural foodstuffs are higher.

Foreign-exchange trading is modestly bullish, with the euro edging higher and the Japanese yen losing value.

In company-specific news, retailer Aeropostale is down by almost 9 percent in early trading after issuing weak guidance for the fourth quarter. Guess rose 7 percent on news of a special dividend, and Research In Motion is up by more than 10 percent as investors continue to bet on a rebound in the stock, which hit a nine-year low in September.
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Sweet Spot Exceptions

As discussed last week, when using the Stock Replacement Strategy to replace a stock position to trade direction, we want to use an option that has very similar characteristics to the stock. We talked about using the deep in-the-money, 80 to 85 delta option that is similar in the Greeks and has relatively little extrinsic value which tends to work against us in stock directional trading.

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