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June 21, 2013  Fri 4:45 AM CT

LEN: SEE CHART GET CHAIN FIND STRATEGIES
Lennar got hammered along with other homebuilders yesterday, but one investor isn't giving up hope.

optionMONSTER's Heat Seeker monitoring system detected the purchase of 5,000 July 36 calls for $1.51 and the sale of an equal number of July 40 calls for $0.41, resulting a cost of $1.10. Volume was below open interest in the 40s, so there are two possible explanations of the activity.

If both halves of the trade are new positions, the strategy is a bullish vertical spread with a maximum profit of 263 percent on a move to $40 or higher. Alternatively, the trader could be rolling a long position in the 40s down to the 36s, which would maintain a strong correlation between the calls and shares of the Miami homebuilder. (See the discussion of delta in our Education section.)

LEN fell 7.69 percent to $34.94 yesterday. It more than tripled between October 2011 and early this year but has been trending lower in the last month. Yesterday's trader apparently thinks that the stock is still bullish and is looking for a rebound in the next four weeks.

Second-quarter earnings will be reported on Tuesday.

Total option volume in the name was 7 times greater than average in the session, according to the Heat Seeker. Calls outnumbered puts by 3 to 1.
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Education & Strategy

Sweet Spot Exceptions

As discussed last week, when using the Stock Replacement Strategy to replace a stock position to trade direction, we want to use an option that has very similar characteristics to the stock. We talked about using the deep in-the-money, 80 to 85 delta option that is similar in the Greeks and has relatively little extrinsic value which tends to work against us in stock directional trading.

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