OptionsHouse

Options Trading News

May 15, 2013  Wed 8:13 AM CT

TOL: SEE CHART GET CHAIN FIND STRATEGIES
You would think that they couldn't keep taking up the housing-related stocks. But you would be wrong.

Take the traditional homebuilders. Remember when Toll Brothers hit $37 before it reported it's so called "bad" quarter and then dropped to $30 and change? Guess what? Back to $37.

People were apoplectic when I said that PulteGroup could repeat as a big winner in the S&P 500 after leading the index last year. It had sold down to $17 and change after the Toll quarter, but now it is up to $24, which, while not going to the head of the class of the S&P given the robust year we are having, is nevertheless up 33 percent since January.

Lennar was another that was thought to have peaked when it reported and traded down, even though CEO Stuart Miller had nothing but good things to say. That was when the group was laboring under the illusion that private-equity firms were going to flood the market with houses they had bought on the cheap.

TheStreet.com logoThis manufactured worry was a lot like having the shadow inventory hanging over you from the likes of Bank of America. My, whatever happened to that shadow inventory? This market could certainly use some.

Now it turns out that investors starved for homebuilders have a chance to sink their teeth into a fabulous one this week, William Lyon Homes, which is expected to trade under "WLH." (It has a stub on the OTC, but the real stock float will be priced after the market closes today.)

I am thinking that this could be like Tri-Pointe or maybe even better because it is coming at a time when the homebuilders are almost all at their 52-week highs and stocks such as Sherwin-Williams and PPG Industries, two big housing-related stories, are hitting all-time highs.

This group is so strong that it is not only lifting all boats, but it is also propelling them right through ranges that have served as lids on the group for much of the year.

I think that William Lyon is a terrific opportunity. You have to put in for stock now, though, as I am sure that others will get wise to the fact that this company has fabulously cheap California land and could trade to a premium quickly in this red-hot market.

Disclosures: Cramer's charitable trust has no positions in the stocks mentioned.
Share this article with your friends


OptionsHouse

Premium Services

Upcoming Webinar:

Using Options For Income

http://bit.ly/1nY1OKA

Jon Najarian and Adam Mesh of Options Wealth Machine discuss a detailed strategy utilizing credit spreads to generate income, and how any level of trader can use this simple trading technique.

Education & Strategy

Sweet Spot Exceptions

As discussed last week, when using the Stock Replacement Strategy to replace a stock position to trade direction, we want to use an option that has very similar characteristics to the stock. We talked about using the deep in-the-money, 80 to 85 delta option that is similar in the Greeks and has relatively little extrinsic value which tends to work against us in stock directional trading.

View more education articles »