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January 16, 2013  Wed 8:13 AM CT

SPX: SEE CHART GET CHAIN FIND STRATEGIES
We've forgotten how powerful it is to have markets fight back from bad openings like we had yesterday morning. When we were in sea-of-red mode, you could see that the market could go down for the count, given that the insane prattle out of Washington is so toxic as to make you feel like an idiot for buying anything.

I find it so disabling. In the old days, the Republican Party was the party of fiscal conservation, but it spent just like Democrats under George W. Bush.

The GOP was always the party that business could count on. But by simply pushing the notion that the debt ceiling is something that isn't routine--as opposed to offering a real plan that can win over Democrats who know we overspend as a nation--the Republicans can't even work with business.

So it was reasonable to think that this market couldn't come back from that ridiculously harmful rhetoric that President Obama gave us yesterday, even as it is true that a shutdown of the government by Republicans making a stand over a refusal to pay our nation's bills is not what the Constitution intended.

How much better would it be for the Republicans if they just immediately agreed to a debt-ceiling deal and at the exact same time showed where $2 trillion could and must be cut? They would be heroes.

Nevertheless, the market shook off the negativity. I think that's because people want in, not out, and they are afraid of missing the action.

Very bullish for the longer term.
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Timing the Trade

Both break outs and a break downs need to have a couple things happen before it is considered a confirmed break out or break down by technical definition!  The only problem is that in today's market where things move much more quicker than they did just a few years ago, two days could wind up being the majority of the expected movement, if not the whole movement.

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