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April 25, 2013  Thu 9:44 AM CT

TBX: SEE CHART GET CHAIN FIND STRATEGIES
Tibco Software is trading near multi-year lows, but some traders are betting on a rebound.

optionMONSTER's Heat Seeker system shows that 2,170 June 20 calls have been purchased this morning for an average price of $0.63. This is clearly fresh buying, as the volume was far above the strike's open interest of just 34 contracts before the trades appeared.

TIBX is up 1.41 percent to $19.05 this morning. The business-infrastructure company has been trending lower since trading above $32 last September and gapped down from above $23 last month after its last earnings report. The stock fell to $18.18 last Friday, its lowest intraday price since October 2010.

Today's long calls, which lock in a $20 purchase price for the stock, can provide significant leverage if TIBX rallies above that level by mid-June. These options could be sold earlier at a profit if their premiums rise before then, but they will expire worthless if the stock remains below that strike price. (See our Education section)

Overall option volume in the name is already more than double its full-session average. Calls outnumber puts by 86 to 1, a reflection of the day's bullish sentiment.
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Both break outs and a break downs need to have a couple things happen before it is considered a confirmed break out or break down by technical definition!  The only problem is that in today's market where things move much more quicker than they did just a few years ago, two days could wind up being the majority of the expected movement, if not the whole movement.

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