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October 3, 2013  Thu 9:12 AM CT

XLB: SEE CHART GET CHAIN FIND STRATEGIES
Despite today's market selloff and rise in volatility, put selling still seems to be the popular trade, as we see this morning in the SPDR Materials Fund.

More than 12,000 XLB October 41 puts have traded, already above its full-session daily average and topping the previous open interest at that strike. Those puts were sold, with the big block of 9,500 going for the bid price of $0.24, according to optionMONSTER systems.

The put seller sees the XLB holding above $41 through mid-October, though the trader may look to close the position before the debt ceiling is hit the day before that expiration. (See our Education section)

The XLB is down 0.73 percent to $41.99 this morning, continuing to stay in its range of the last week. The exchange-traded fund was at a high of $43.78 two weeks ago and last closed below $41 a month ago.
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Timing the Trade

Both break outs and a break downs need to have a couple things happen before it is considered a confirmed break out or break down by technical definition!  The only problem is that in today's market where things move much more quicker than they did just a few years ago, two days could wind up being the majority of the expected movement, if not the whole movement.

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